White Sox at Blue Jays
Last play · Andrew Benintendi flies out to right fielder Nathan Lukes.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
CWS 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 0 – 1 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-106 / -113
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Blue Jays favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · George Springer singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tristan Peters. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. (inning 4) — +13% Blue Jays
4George Springer singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tristan Peters. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
