White Sox at Blue Jays
Last play · Jonatan Clase called out on strikes.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
CWS 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 8 – 3 TOR
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.3% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+113 / -136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Blue Jays favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Teel doubles (2) on a fly ball to left fielder George Springer. Colson Montgomery scores. Andrew Benintendi to 3rd. (inning 2) — -15% White Sox
7Tristan Peters out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Myles Straw. Braden Montgomery scores.12–4
7Braden Montgomery triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Myles Straw. Miguel Vargas scores. Colson Montgomery scores. Randal Grichuk scores.11–4
6Brandon Valenzuela homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.8–4
5George Springer homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.8–3
5Colson Montgomery doubles (17) on a line drive to left fielder George Springer. Chase Meidroth scores. Sam Antonacci scores. Munetaka Murakami scores.8–2
4Luis Urías homers (2) on a line drive to left field.5–2
3George Springer grounds into a force out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to second baseman Chase Meidroth. Ernie Clement scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd. Kazuma Okamoto out at 2nd. George Springer to 1st.5–1
2Sam Antonacci homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Chase Meidroth scores.5–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
