Rays at Blue Jays

Scoreboard

TB7–TOR1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Rogers Centre · TB 57-42 · TOR 46-54

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	0	1	1	0	2	1	1	0	1	7	13	0
TOR	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	8	3

Last play · Andrés Giménez lines out sharply to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr.

Win probability

Blue Jays0%

TB 100%TOR 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

TB 4 – 1 TOR

Rays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 47.6% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+148 / -180

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Blue Jays favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Victor Mesa Jr. homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 2) — -15% Rays

Scoring plays

TB–TOR · 8 total

9Nick Fortes homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.7–1

7Junior Caminero doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Yandy Díaz scores.6–1

6Cedric Mullins homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.5–1

5Junior Caminero singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Myles Straw. Yandy Díaz scores. Junior Caminero out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Myles Straw to catcher Alejandro Kirk to second baseman Ernie Clement.4–1

5Yandy Díaz reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Andrés Giménez. Nick Fortes scores.3–1

4Alejandro Kirk singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr. George Springer scores.2–1

3Jonathan Aranda singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Taylor Walls scores.2–0

2Victor Mesa Jr. homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.