White Sox at Blue Jays
Last play · Kazuma Okamoto grounds into a double play, shortstop Colson Montgomery to second baseman Sam Antonacci to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Nathan Lukes out at 2nd. Kazuma Okamoto out at 1st.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
CWS 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 1 – 0 TOR
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 48.7% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-112 / -108
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Blue Jays favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colson Montgomery homers (24) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 6) — -14% White Sox
6Braden Montgomery singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Andrew Benintendi scores. Braden Montgomery out at 2nd on the throw, center fielder Daulton Varsho to first baseman Sean Keys to second baseman Ernie Clement to shortstop Andrés Giménez to second baseman Ernie Clement.3–0
6Colson Montgomery homers (24) on a fly ball to right center field.2–0
4Andrew Benintendi out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Miguel Vargas scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
