Orioles at Blue Jays

Scoreboard

BAL3–TOR7

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Rogers Centre · BAL 72-77 · TOR 74-75

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	6	0
TOR	2	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	·	7	11	3

Last play · Pete Alonso lines out to third baseman Kazuma Okamoto.

Win probability

Blue Jays100%

BAL 0%TOR 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

BAL 1 – 5 TOR

Blue Jays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8.5 ↓

fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+118 / -142

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Blue Jays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · Alejandro Kirk homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. George Springer scores. (inning 3) — +10% Blue Jays

Scoring plays

BAL–TOR · 8 total

7Ernie Clement out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Rece Hinds. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.3–7

7Pete Alonso homers (35) on a fly ball to left field. Yohel Pozo scores.3–6

6Andrés Giménez doubles (22) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dylan Beavers. Josh Smith scores.1–6

4Christian Encarnacion-Strand reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Kazuma Okamoto. Gunnar Henderson scores. Christian Encarnacion-Strand to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Kazuma Okamoto.1–5

3Alejandro Kirk homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. George Springer scores.0–5

3Brett Bateman homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.0–3

1Alejandro Kirk singles on a line drive to right fielder Heston Kjerstad. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.0–2

1Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (23) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Heston Kjerstad. Brett Bateman scores.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.