Padres at Nationals

Scoreboard

SD7–WSH5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Nationals Park · SD 32-24 · WSH 29-29

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	1	0	1	2	0	1	2	0	0	7	10	1
WSH	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	5	9	2

Last play · Daylen Lile strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Nationals0%

SD 100%WSH 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 4 – 5 WSH

Nationals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9.5

opened 9 ↑

fair over 47.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-104 / -116

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Nationals favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jackson Merrill homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Xander Bogaerts scores. (inning 7) — -31% Padres

Scoring plays

SD–WSH · 8 total

7Jackson Merrill homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Xander Bogaerts scores.7–5

6Ty France homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.5–5

5Jacob Young singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Curtis Mead scores. CJ Abrams to 2nd.4–5

4Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Ty France scores.4–4

4Freddy Fermin grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Luis García Jr. Ramón Laureano scores. Ty France to 2nd.3–4

3Dylan Crews singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. CJ Abrams scores.2–4

3Manny Machado singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Gavin Sheets scores.2–3

2Keibert Ruiz homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.