Marlins at Nationals

Scoreboard

MIA7–WSH3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Nationals Park · MIA 27-34 · WSH 31-30

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	7	10	1
WSH	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7	0

Last play · Jacob Young strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Nationals0%

MIA 100%WSH 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 1 – 3 WSH

Nationals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+115 / -138

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Nationals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Heriberto Hernández homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Leo Jiménez scores. (inning 6) — -31% Marlins

Scoring plays

MIA–WSH · 7 total

9Kyle Stowers homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Otto Lopez scores.7–3

9Liam Hicks homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.5–3

6Connor Norby doubles (10) on a soft ground ball to right fielder James Wood. Jakob Marsee scores.4–3

6Heriberto Hernández homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Leo Jiménez scores.3–3

3Curtis Mead singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. James Wood scores. Curtis Mead out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Kyle Stowers to second baseman Xavier Edwards.1–3

2Jacob Young homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. CJ Abrams scores.1–2

1Owen Caissie challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Owen Caissie walks. Liam Hicks scores. Otto Lopez to 3rd. Xavier Edwards to 2nd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.