Marlins at Nationals

Scoreboard

MIA7–WSH3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Nationals Park · MIA 28-34 · WSH 31-31

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	3	7	8	1
WSH	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	3	7	0

Last play · Keibert Ruiz strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Nationals0%

MIA 100%WSH 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 4 – 0 WSH

Marlins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9

fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-106 / -114

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Nationals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Joe Mack homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Owen Caissie scores. (inning 5) — -28% Marlins

Scoring plays

MIA–WSH · 8 total

9Heriberto Hernández homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Jakob Marsee scores.7–3

9Joe Mack out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Mitchell Parker to second baseman Nasim Nuñez. Liam Hicks scores. Jakob Marsee to 2nd.5–3

7Keibert Ruiz grounds out to first baseman Liam Hicks. Daylen Lile scores. Dylan Crews to 3rd.4–3

7Dylan Crews singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Leo Jiménez. CJ Abrams scores. Daylen Lile to 3rd. Dylan Crews to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Leo Jiménez.4–2

6Luis García Jr. grounds into a force out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to shortstop Otto Lopez. Keibert Ruiz scores. Jacob Young out at 2nd. Luis García Jr. to 1st.4–1

5Otto Lopez homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.4–0

5Heriberto Hernández homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.3–0

5Joe Mack homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Owen Caissie scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.