Angels at Nationals
Last play · Harry Ford reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Zach Neto. CJ Abrams scores. Fielding error by shortstop Zach Neto.
Win probability
Nationals100%
LAA 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 4 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 52.1% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+109 / -132
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Nationals favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrés Chaparro singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. José Tena scores. (inning 9) — +43% Nationals
10Harry Ford reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Zach Neto. CJ Abrams scores. Fielding error by shortstop Zach Neto.5–6
9Andrés Chaparro singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. José Tena scores.5–5
9Moisés Ballesteros out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Daylen Lile. Denzer Guzman scores.5–4
9Denzer Guzman doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Daylen Lile. Oswald Peraza scores.4–4
8Vaughn Grissom homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Wade Meckler scores.3–4
8Wade Meckler doubles (14) on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Mike Trout scores.1–4
2Abimelec Ortiz singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyren Paris. Jacob Young scores. James Wood scores.0–4
2Nationals challenged (home-plate collision), call on the field was upheld: Nationals challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Jacob Young singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jose Siri. Keibert Ruiz scores. Jacob Young to 2nd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
