Angels at Nationals
Last play · Kyren Paris flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.
Win probability
Nationals100%
LAA 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 1 – 1 WSH
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+133 / -161
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Nationals favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorbit Vivas doubles (14) on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Dylan Crews scores. Yohandy Morales scores. (inning 8) — +34% Nationals
9Christian Moore doubles (3) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Dylan Crews. Oswald Peraza scores.3–4
8Jorbit Vivas doubles (14) on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Dylan Crews scores. Yohandy Morales scores.2–4
8Andrew Pinckney out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Josh Lowe. CJ Abrams scores. Dylan Crews to 3rd.2–2
7Christian Moore singles on a ground ball to left fielder Dylan Crews. Vaughn Grissom scores. Moisés Ballesteros to 2nd.2–1
4James Wood singles on a ground ball to left fielder Wade Meckler. Harry Ford scores. Jorbit Vivas to 2nd.1–1
1Mike Trout homers (21) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
