Braves at Orioles
Last play · Livan Soto grounds out, first baseman David McCabe to pitcher Blane Abeyta.
Win probability
Orioles0%
ATL 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 11 – 2 BAL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -200
Orioles favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Allen homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 3) — -18% Braves
9Dylan Carlson homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.13–5
8Chandler Seagle homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Keshawn Ogans scores.13–4
7Ryan Mountcastle homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Heston Kjerstad scores.11–4
5Ryan O'Hearn grounds into a force out, first baseman Garrett Cooper to shortstop Nick Allen. Ramón Urías scores. Jackson Holliday to 3rd. Heston Kjerstad out at 2nd. Ryan O'Hearn to 1st.11–2
5Cedric Mullins walks. Gary Sánchez scores. Ramón Urías to 3rd. Jackson Holliday to 2nd.11–1
5Garrett Cooper doubles (5) on a fly ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Kevin Kilpatrick Jr. scores.11–0
5Michael Harris II homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Stephen Paolini scores. Nick Allen scores.10–0
5Sandy León homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Patrick Clohisy scores. Luke Williams scores.7–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
