Yankees at Orioles
Last play · Livan Soto strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles0%
NYY 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 5 – 4 BAL
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 11.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -155
Orioles favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adley Rutschman homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Jackson Holliday scores. Cedric Mullins scores. (inning 3) — +28% Orioles
9Jorge Mateo singles on a fly ball to second baseman Juan Matheus. Vimael Machín scores. Dylan Carlson to 3rd. Ramón Laureano to 2nd.9–7
9Vimael Machín doubles (4) on a fly ball to center fielder Brendan Jones. Luis Vázquez scores.9–6
8Brendan Jones singles on a line drive to center fielder Ramón Laureano. Omar Martinez scores. Brenny Escanio scores. Brendan Jones to 2nd. Fielding error by center fielder Ramón Laureano.9–5
8Omar Martinez doubles (2) on a fly ball to right fielder Hudson Haskin. Jesus Rodriguez scores.7–5
6Luis Vázquez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Duke Ellis. Jackson Holliday scores. Ryan Mountcastle to 3rd.6–5
6Anthony Volpe homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.6–4
3Adley Rutschman homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Jackson Holliday scores. Cedric Mullins scores.5–4
3Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger scores.5–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
