Blue Jays at Orioles
Last play · Myles Straw called out on strikes.
Win probability
Orioles100%
TOR 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 7 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 11.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -140
Orioles favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan O'Hearn homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 3) — +18% Orioles
7Ryan Mountcastle homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.2–8
7Leo Jiménez singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Michael Stefanic scores. Ernie Clement to 3rd. Leo Jiménez to 2nd.2–7
6Bo Bichette homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.1–7
4Tyler O'Neill singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nathan Lukes. Jordan Westburg scores. Adley Rutschman to 3rd.0–7
4Jordan Westburg singles on a line drive to center fielder Nathan Lukes. Jackson Holliday scores.0–6
3Ryan Mountcastle homers (4) on a line drive to left field. Jordan Westburg scores. Adley Rutschman scores.0–5
3Ryan O'Hearn homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
2Cedric Mullins homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
