Mets at Marlins
Last play · Matt Mervis strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Marlins0%
NYM 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 2 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Marlins favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · William Lugo singles on a pop up to second baseman Ronny Simon. Nick Roselli scores. Nick Lorusso to 3rd. (inning 8) — -26% Mets
9Jesus Hernandez hits a ground-rule double (1) on a fly ball to left-center field. Javier Sanoja scores. Ronny Simon scores.6–5
9Ronny Simon reaches on a fielding error by left fielder Alexander Canario. Fenwick Trimble scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd. Ronny Simon to 2nd.6–3
9Alexander Canario homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Donovan Walton scores.6–2
8Tyrone Taylor singles on a ground ball to center fielder Fenwick Trimble. Nick Lorusso scores. William Lugo to 2nd.4–2
8William Lugo singles on a pop up to second baseman Ronny Simon. Nick Roselli scores. Nick Lorusso to 3rd.3–2
8Nick Roselli doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Colby Shade. Alexander Canario scores.2–2
3Dane Myers homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Javier Sanoja scores.1–2
1Pete Alonso out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Derek Hill. Starling Marte scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
