Blue Jays at Cardinals
Last play · Ryan McCarty strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
TOR 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 3 – 5 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -165
Cardinals favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Burleson singles on a line drive to right fielder Steward Berroa. Willson Contreras scores. Nolan Arenado scores. Jordan Walker to 3rd. (inning 5) — +25% Cardinals
9Will Robertson homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.5–9
9Robert Brooks homers (1) on a line drive to left center field.4–9
8Matt Koperniak doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Damiano Palmegiani. César Prieto scores.3–9
8César Prieto doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Will Robertson. Nathan Church scores.3–8
6Brendan Donovan singles on a ground ball to right fielder Steward Berroa. R.J. Yeager scores. César Prieto to 3rd. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.3–7
6Lars Nootbaar homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.3–6
5Alec Burleson singles on a line drive to right fielder Steward Berroa. Willson Contreras scores. Nolan Arenado scores. Jordan Walker to 3rd.3–5
5Addison Barger doubles (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Ryan McCarty scores. Fielding error by second baseman Brendan Donovan.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
