Astros at Marlins
Last play · Rob Brantly grounds out, pitcher Brody Rodning to first baseman Ryan Wrobleski.
Win probability
Marlins0%
HOU 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 0 MIA
Astros led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -135
Marlins favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Meyers homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Zach Dezenzo scores. (inning 7) — -22% Astros
9Joseph Sullivan out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Mark Coley II. Ryan Wrobleski scores.11–0
9Ryan Wrobleski triples (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Mark Coley II. Cooper Hummel scores.10–0
9Jesús Bastidas out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Mark Coley II. Joe Hudson scores.9–0
9Cooper Hummel doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jacob Jenkins-Cowart. Chase Jaworsky scores. Zack Short scores. Joe Hudson to 3rd.8–0
9Zack Short doubles (2) on a fly ball to right fielder Jacob Jenkins-Cowart. Pascanel Ferreras scores. Chase Jaworsky to 3rd.6–0
7Zack Short homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Pascanel Ferreras scores.5–0
7Jake Meyers homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Zach Dezenzo scores.3–0
4Zach Dezenzo doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Derek Hill. Cooper Hummel scores. Zach Dezenzo to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
