Astros at Cardinals
Last play · Ryan Vilade strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
HOU 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 5 – 3 STL
Astros led after 5
Cardinals favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Chas McCormick homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Jon Singleton scores. Brendan Rodgers scores. (inning 2) — -33% Astros
5Ryan Vilade homers (1) on a line drive to right center field. Victor Scott II scores.5–3
5Jeremy Peña homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.5–1
2Victor Scott II homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.4–1
2Isaac Paredes singles on a ground ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Jeremy Peña scores.4–0
2Chas McCormick homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Jon Singleton scores. Brendan Rodgers scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
