Nationals at Cardinals
Last play · Donta' Williams strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
WSH 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 1 – 6 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -140
Cardinals favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Iván Herrera singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder James Wood. Willson Contreras scores. Nolan Arenado to 2nd. (inning 1) — +9% Cardinals
7Nolan Gorman doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Jared McKenzie. Brody Moore scores.1–7
5Victor Scott II homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.1–6
4Brendan Donovan singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Lars Nootbaar scores. Willson Contreras to 3rd.1–5
3Alec Burleson homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.1–4
3James Wood flies out to center fielder Victor Scott II.1–3
2Willson Contreras singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. José Fermín scores. Lars Nootbaar to 2nd.0–3
1Iván Herrera singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder James Wood. Willson Contreras scores. Nolan Arenado to 2nd.0–2
1Nolan Arenado singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder James Wood. Lars Nootbaar scores. Willson Contreras to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
