Rays at Yankees
Last play · Coby Morales called out on strikes.
Win probability
Yankees0%
TB 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 2 – 3 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 53.7% · hold 5.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -165
Yankees favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Wells homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Braden Shewmake scores. (inning 5) — +30% Yankees
6Jonathan Aranda doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Junior Caminero scores.3–3
5Austin Wells homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Braden Shewmake scores.2–3
5Anthony Volpe homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
1Junior Caminero homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Josh Lowe scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
