Orioles at Pirates
Last play · Matt Gorski strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Pirates0%
BAL 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 0 PIT
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -155
Pirates favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dylan Carlson singles on a fly ball to center fielder Matt Gorski. Enrique Bradfield Jr. scores. Jackson Holliday to 2nd. (inning 7) — -19% Orioles
9Griff O'Ferrall out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jase Bowen. Enrique Bradfield Jr. scores.4–0
7Vimael Machín grounds into a double play, second baseman Adam Frazier to shortstop Alika Williams to first baseman DJ Stewart. Dylan Carlson scores. Livan Soto out at 2nd. Vimael Machín out at 1st.3–0
7Livan Soto singles on a ground ball to center fielder Matt Gorski. Jackson Holliday scores. Dylan Carlson to 2nd.2–0
7Dylan Carlson singles on a fly ball to center fielder Matt Gorski. Enrique Bradfield Jr. scores. Jackson Holliday to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
