Orioles at Pirates
Last play · David Bañuelos grounds into a double play, shortstop Mike Jarvis to second baseman Keiner Delgado to first baseman Nick Cimillo. Maverick Handley out at 2nd. David Bañuelos out at 1st.
Win probability
Pirates100%
BAL 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 4 – 5 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
13.5
opened 11.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -165
Pirates favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dylan Carlson out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jack Suwinski. Luis Vázquez scores. (inning 4) — -25% Orioles
8Henry Davis hits a grand slam (2) to left field. Matt Fraizer scores. Keiner Delgado scores. Tres Gonzalez scores.5–15
8Anthony Servideo hit by pitch. David Bañuelos scores. TT Bowens to 3rd. Luis Valdez to 2nd.5–11
7Jase Bowen doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Hudson Haskin. Nick Cimillo scores.4–11
7Nick Cimillo doubles (1) on a ground ball to center fielder Douglas Hodo III. Henry Davis scores. Alika Williams scores.4–10
6Jack Suwinski singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Daz Cameron. Endy Rodríguez scores. Jase Bowen scores. Abrahan Gutierrez to 3rd.4–8
6Abrahan Gutierrez singles on a ground ball to second baseman Collin Burns. Jihwan Bae scores. Endy Rodríguez to 3rd. Jase Bowen to 2nd.4–6
4Oneil Cruz grounds into a force out, third baseman Vimael Machín to second baseman Nick Gordon. Jihwan Bae scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 3rd. Endy Rodríguez out at 2nd. Oneil Cruz to 1st.4–5
4Dylan Carlson out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jack Suwinski. Luis Vázquez scores.4–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
