Phillies at Pirates
Last play · Javier Rivas homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.
Win probability
Pirates100%
PHI 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 0 PIT
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +105
Pirates favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryce Johnson out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Elio Prado. DJ Stewart scores. (inning 9) — +42% Pirates
9Javier Rivas homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.2–3
9Bryce Johnson out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Elio Prado. DJ Stewart scores.2–2
9Nick Yorke out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Leandro Pineda. Nick Solak scores. DJ Stewart to 3rd.2–1
6Nick Castellanos singles on a ground ball to second baseman Adam Frazier, deflected by shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa. Carson DeMartini scores. Brandon Marsh to 2nd.2–0
1Nick Castellanos homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
