Royals at Mariners
Last play · Dominic Canzone strikes out swinging, catcher Brian O'Keefe to first baseman Stone Russell.
Win probability
Mariners0%
KC 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 2 – 5 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 53.7% · hold 5.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -180
Mariners favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gavin Cross triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Jared Sundstrom. Jac Caglianone scores. (inning 9) — -38% Royals
9Stone Russell singles on a ground ball to center fielder Samad Taylor. Gavin Cross scores.7–6
9Gavin Cross triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Jared Sundstrom. Jac Caglianone scores.6–6
9Tyler Tolbert homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Joey Wiemer scores.5–6
6Victor Robles homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.3–6
6Freddy Fermin out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Gavin Cross scores.3–5
5Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Victor Robles. Tyler Tolbert scores.2–5
3Jonathan India reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Jorge Polanco. Freddy Fermin scores.1–5
2Julio Rodríguez hits a grand slam (3) to left center field. Rowdy Tellez scores. Dylan Moore scores. Victor Robles scores.0–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
