Rangers at Mariners
Last play · Ezequiel Duran grounds into a force out, shortstop Leo Rivas to second baseman Ryan Bliss. Dustin Harris out at 2nd.
Win probability
Mariners100%
TEX 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 3 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 53.7% · hold 5.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +110
Mariners favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · J.P. Crawford homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 5) — +16% Mariners
6Jake Burger grounds into a force out, second baseman Dylan Moore to shortstop J.P. Crawford. Adolis García scores. Josh Jung out at 2nd. Jake Burger to 1st.2–3
5J.P. Crawford homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3
4Rowdy Tellez flies into a sacrifice double play, right fielder Adolis García to shortstop Corey Seager. Jorge Polanco scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd. Randy Arozarena out at 2nd.1–2
1Jorge Polanco homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
1Corey Seager homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
