Brewers at Mariners
Last play · Luis Peña flies out to right fielder Dominic Canzone.
Win probability
Mariners100%
MIL 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 3 – 6 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 46.3% · hold 5.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -175
Mariners favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Collins homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Oliver Dunn scores. Jake Bauers scores. (inning 1) — -28% Brewers
6Victor Robles homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Dylan Moore scores. Ryan Bliss scores.3–9
5Randy Arozarena doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Luke Raley scores.3–6
5Luke Raley doubles (5) on a fly ball to center fielder Sal Frelick. Ryan Bliss scores.3–5
3Cal Raleigh homers (3) on a line drive to right field. Ryan Bliss scores.3–4
3Luke Raley grounds into a double play, second baseman Caleb Durbin to shortstop Andruw Monasterio to first baseman Jake Bauers. Dylan Moore scores. Ryan Bliss to 3rd. Victor Robles out at 2nd. Luke Raley out at 1st.3–2
3Victor Robles singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Dominic Canzone scores. Dylan Moore to 3rd. Ryan Bliss to 2nd.3–1
1Isaac Collins homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Oliver Dunn scores. Jake Bauers scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
