Pirates at Rays
Last play · Nick Yorke grounds out, shortstop Coco Montes to first baseman Bob Seymour.
Win probability
Rays100%
PIT 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 2 – 3 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 53.7% · hold 5.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -160
Rays favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eloy Jiménez homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Josh Lowe scores. (inning 2) — +20% Rays
7Jamie Westbrook hits a ground-rule double (3) on a line drive to right field. Bob Seymour scores.2–5
7Bob Seymour doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Jack Suwinski. Christopher Morel scores.2–4
3Adam Frazier grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Yandy Díaz. Jihwan Bae scores.2–3
3Jihwan Bae doubles (5) on a fly ball to left fielder Christopher Morel. Henry Davis scores. Jihwan Bae to 3rd.1–3
2Danny Jansen homers (2) on a line drive to left field.0–3
2Eloy Jiménez homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Josh Lowe scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
