Red Sox at Rays
Last play · Fraymi De Leon grounds out, third baseman Tanner Murray to first baseman Bob Seymour.
Win probability
Rays100%
BOS 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 11 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 54.7% · hold 5.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -175
Rays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kenny Piper triples (1) on a line drive to left fielder Nick Sogard, deflected by center fielder Roman Anthony. Curtis Mead scores. Jonathan Aranda scores. José Caballero scores. (inning 2) — +21% Rays
8Christopher Morel walks. Tres Barrera scores. Coco Montes to 3rd. Jonny DeLuca to 2nd.2–14
8Kristian Campbell homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.2–13
7Jamie Westbrook singles on a pop up to left fielder Karson Simas. Coco Montes scores. Jonny DeLuca to 3rd. Christopher Morel to 2nd.1–13
6Jonathan Aranda singles on a line drive to left fielder Karson Simas. Tristan Peters scores.1–12
6Wilyer Abreu homers (1) on a line drive to right field.1–11
5Taylor Walls homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. José Caballero scores. Kenny Piper scores.0–11
4Curtis Mead singles on a line drive to center fielder Roman Anthony. Brandon Lowe scores. Josh Lowe to 2nd.0–8
3Kenny Piper singles on a line drive to left fielder Nick Sogard. Jonathan Aranda scores. José Caballero to 2nd.0–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
