Orioles at Blue Jays
BAL4–
TOR6Last play · Vimael Machín strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
BAL 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 3 – 5 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -200
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daulton Varsho homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Bo Bichette scores. (inning 5) — +25% Blue Jays
9Jud Fabian singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dasan Brown. Connor Pavolony scores. Creed Willems to 3rd.4–6
8Christian Bethancourt singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Beavers. Alan Roden scores.3–6
5Daulton Varsho homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Bo Bichette scores.3–5
5Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Nick Gordon. Myles Straw scores. Bo Bichette to 2nd.3–3
5Bo Bichette singles on a line drive to left fielder Nick Gordon. Orelvis Martinez scores. Myles Straw to 3rd.3–2
2Vimael Machín doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Anthony Santander. Livan Soto scores. Luis Vázquez out at home on the throw, left fielder Anthony Santander to shortstop Bo Bichette to catcher Alejandro Kirk. Vimael Machín to 3rd.3–1
2Luis Vázquez reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Nick Gordon scores. Livan Soto to 2nd.2–1
2Nick Gordon doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder George Springer. Coby Mayo scores.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.