Rays at Blue Jays
Last play · Jonathan Aranda called out on strikes.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
TB 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 4 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -220
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Santander doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Christopher Morel. Will Wagner scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. (inning 5) — +10% Blue Jays
6Jonathan Aranda homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–4
5Anthony Santander doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Christopher Morel. Will Wagner scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.0–4
1Andrés Giménez reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Jonathan Aranda. Anthony Santander scores. Bo Bichette to 3rd. Andrés Giménez to 2nd.0–2
1Anthony Santander singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Tristan Peters. Will Wagner scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
