Pirates at Blue Jays
Last play · DJ Stewart strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
PIT 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 2 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 11.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -175
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Bart out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Myles Straw. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. (inning 6) — -14% Pirates
6Joey Bart out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Myles Straw. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.1–2
3Anthony Santander singles on a fly ball to shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa. Arjun Nimmala to 3rd.0–2
3Nathan Lukes singles on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Will Wagner scores. Ernie Clement to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
