Reds at Rangers
Last play · Carlos Jorge pops out to second baseman Nick Ahmed.
Win probability
Rangers100%
CIN 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 3 – 4 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 13.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -140
Rangers favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeimer Candelario doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Josh Smith. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain scores. Elly De La Cruz scores. (inning 3) — -29% Reds
4Jonah Heim out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jacob Hurtubise. Adolis García scores. Evan Carter to 3rd.3–4
3Jeimer Candelario doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Josh Smith. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain scores. Elly De La Cruz scores.3–3
1Joc Pederson homers (3) on a line drive to left field. Josh Smith scores. Corey Seager scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
