Padres at Royals
Last play · Austin Charles reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Niko Goodrum. Jack Pineda scores.
Win probability
Royals100%
SD 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 3 – 1 KC
Padres led after 5
Total runs
13.5
opened 11.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Royals favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Wiemer homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Luke Maile scores. Dustin Dickerson scores. (inning 9) — +56% Royals
9Austin Charles reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Niko Goodrum. Jack Pineda scores.5–6
9Joey Wiemer homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Luke Maile scores. Dustin Dickerson scores.5–5
9Trenton Brooks singles on a line drive to center fielder Drew Waters. Brandon Lockridge scores. Niko Goodrum to 3rd.5–2
8Mason McCoy homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.4–2
6MJ Melendez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Oscar Gonzalez. Dairon Blanco scores.3–2
2Kyle Isbel grounds out to first baseman Luis Arraez. Michael Massey scores.3–1
2Luis Arraez triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Jason Heyward scores. Martín Maldonado scores.3–0
2Martín Maldonado singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Oscar Gonzalez scores. Jason Heyward to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
