Braves at Phillies
Last play · Jace Grady strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies100%
ATL 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 11 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -220
Phillies favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · J.T. Realmuto triples (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Marisnick. Bryce Harper scores. Alec Bohm scores. (inning 1) — +16% Phillies
9Jace Grady strikes out swinging.9–16
9Luke Waddell walks. Cade Bunnell scores. Geraldo Quintero to 3rd. Cody Milligan to 2nd.8–16
9Cody Milligan walks. Kobe Kato scores. Cade Bunnell to 3rd. Geraldo Quintero to 2nd.7–16
8Edmundo Sosa singles on a ground ball to second baseman Cal Conley. Leandro Pineda scores.6–16
8Leandro Pineda doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Cody Milligan. Rafael Marchán scores.6–15
8Jace Grady out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Rodolfo Castro. Cody Milligan scores.6–14
8Conner Capel reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Edmundo Sosa. Geraldo Quintero scores. Cody Milligan to 3rd. Luke Waddell to 2nd.5–14
8Cody Milligan singles on a ground ball to center fielder Rodolfo Castro. Cade Bunnell scores. Geraldo Quintero to 2nd.4–14
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
