Cardinals at Mets
Last play · Simon Juan strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets0%
STL 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 2 – 1 NYM
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -190
Mets favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis De Los Santos strikes out swinging. (inning 8) — +32% Mets
8Luis De Los Santos strikes out swinging.3–3
6Juan Soto singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Francisco Lindor scores.3–2
6Matt Koperniak singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jose Siri, deflected by second baseman Brett Baty. Noah Mendlinger scores.3–1
3Yohel Pozo homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Michael Helman scores.2–1
1Juan Soto homers (4) on a line drive to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
