Red Sox at Mets
Last play · Luis De Los Santos grounds out, second baseman Justin Riemer to first baseman Nathan Hickey.
Win probability
Mets0%
BOS 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 2 – 0 NYM
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -190
Mets favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Roselli singles on a line drive to left fielder Phillip Sikes. Donovan Walton scores. Joey Meneses scores. Nick Roselli to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Phillip Sikes. (inning 8) — +22% Mets
8Nick Roselli singles on a line drive to left fielder Phillip Sikes. Donovan Walton scores. Joey Meneses scores. Nick Roselli to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Phillip Sikes.3–2
8Carlos Narváez walks.3–0
2Abraham Toro doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Jesse Winker. Vaughn Grissom scores.2–0
1David Hamilton homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
