Marlins at Mets
Last play · Jake DeLeo flies out to left fielder Rowdey Jordan.
Win probability
Mets100%
MIA 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 6 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.3% · hold 5.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -190
Mets favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alexander Canario hits a grand slam (2) to left center field. Brandon Nimmo scores. Mark Vientos scores. Brett Baty scores. (inning 4) — +21% Mets
7Tyrone Taylor singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dalvy Rosario. Alexander Canario scores. Luisangel Acuña to 2nd.2–10
7Luisangel Acuña singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Dalvy Rosario. Brett Baty scores. Alexander Canario to 2nd.2–9
6Tyrone Taylor homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.2–8
6Alexander Canario homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.2–7
5Eric Wagaman singles on a line drive to right fielder Alexander Canario. Javier Sanoja scores. Kyle Stowers to 2nd.2–6
4Alexander Canario hits a grand slam (2) to left center field. Brandon Nimmo scores. Mark Vientos scores. Brett Baty scores.1–6
4Brett Baty walks. Pete Alonso scores. Brandon Nimmo to 3rd. Mark Vientos to 2nd.1–2
2Rob Brantly singles on a line drive to center fielder Brandon Nimmo. Matt Mervis scores.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
