Rays at Twins
Last play · Jonathan Aranda strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins100%
TB 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 2 – 11 MIN
Twins led after 5
Twins favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Harrison Bader singles on a line drive to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Ryan Jeffers scores. Willi Castro scores. Ty France to 2nd. (inning 2) — +25% Twins
9Curtis Mead singles on a line drive to center fielder Dalton Shuffield. Tanner Murray scores.6–13
9Tanner Murray hits a ground-rule double (3) on a fly ball to left-center field. Jhon Diaz scores. Tristan Peters scores.5–13
9Bryan Broecker out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Nick Lucky. Ricardo Genovés scores.3–13
6Matt Wallner homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Allan Cerda scores.2–13
5Byron Buxton doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Jake Mangum. Matt Wallner scores.2–11
5Carlos Correa out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kameron Misner. Allan Cerda scores. Matt Wallner to 3rd.2–10
5Matt Wallner doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kameron Misner. Ty France scores. Allan Cerda to 3rd.2–9
5Ty France doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Willi Castro scores.2–8
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
