Pirates at Twins
Last play · Jhonny Severino strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins100%
PIT 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 5 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +100
Twins favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeferson Morales doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Luke Keaschall scores. Jeferson Morales to 3rd. Jeferson Morales advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa. (inning 5) — +15% Twins
9Matt Gorski homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.3–15
9Darick Hall homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Nick Solak scores.2–15
7Allan Cerda grounds out, shortstop Alika Williams to first baseman Darick Hall. Patrick Winkel scores.0–15
6Edouard Julien doubles (2) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jack Suwinski. DaShawn Keirsey Jr. scores. Jeferson Morales scores.0–14
6DaShawn Keirsey Jr. doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Brooks Lee scores. Austin Martin scores.0–12
6Austin Martin singles on a fly ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Jose F Miranda scores. Brooks Lee to 2nd.0–10
6Jose F Miranda doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Edouard Julien scores. Jay Thomason scores.0–9
6Christian Vázquez grounds into a force out, shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa to second baseman Adam Frazier. Jeferson Morales scores. Edouard Julien to 3rd. Mickey Gasper out at 2nd. Christian Vázquez to 1st.0–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
