Red Sox at Twins
Last play · Seby Zavala pops out to shortstop Ryan Fitzgerald.
Win probability
Twins100%
BOS 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 1 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 13.5 ↓
fair over 46.3% · hold 5.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -135
Twins favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · DaShawn Keirsey Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Kristian Campbell. Caden Kendle scores. (inning 8) — +29% Twins
8DaShawn Keirsey Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Kristian Campbell. Caden Kendle scores.1–2
5Kristian Campbell out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Matt Wallner. David Hamilton scores.1–1
2Harrison Bader reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Trevor Story. Ty France scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
