Red Sox at Twins
Last play · Nick Lucky called out on strikes.
Win probability
Twins0%
BOS 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 4 – 1 MIN
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
12.5
opened 12.5
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -135
Twins favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nate Baez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nate Eaton. Mickey Gasper scores. Tanner Schobel scores. (inning 8) — +22% Twins
8Nate Baez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nate Eaton. Mickey Gasper scores. Tanner Schobel scores.6–5
7DaShawn Keirsey Jr. singles on a ground ball to left fielder Rob Refsnyder. Nate Baez scores. Yohander Martinez to 2nd.6–3
7Austin Martin out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Trayce Thompson. Tanner Schobel scores.6–2
7Rob Refsnyder homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.6–1
5Austin Martin doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Roman Anthony. Ty France scores. Christian Vázquez to 3rd.4–1
4Ceddanne Rafaela homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.4–0
4Connor Wong homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.3–0
1Connor Wong out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Byron Buxton. Masataka Yoshida scores. Trevor Story to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
