Blue Jays at Twins
Last play · Rubel Cespedes flies out to left fielder RJ Schreck.
Win probability
Twins0%
TOR 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 0 MIN
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -220
Twins favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Byron Buxton homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 6) — +21% Twins
6Byron Buxton homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
6Rainer Nunez singles on a line drive to right fielder Harrison Bader. Myles Straw scores.2–0
1Alan Roden singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Tyler Heineman scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
