Royals at Reds
Last play · Will Banfield pops out to second baseman Peyton Wilson.
Win probability
Reds0%
KC 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 2 – 6 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 12.5 ↓
fair over 53.7% · hold 5.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -160
Reds favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Wiemer doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jacob Hurtubise. Brian O'Keefe scores. Austin Charles scores. (inning 8) — -39% Royals
9Blake Dunn homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.11–8
8Peyton Wilson singles on a line drive to right fielder Héctor Rodríguez. Spencer Nivens scores. Nick Pratto to 3rd.11–7
8Hunter Renfroe singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jacob Hurtubise. Joey Wiemer scores.10–7
8Joey Wiemer doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jacob Hurtubise. Brian O'Keefe scores. Austin Charles scores.9–7
8Tyler Tolbert singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jacob Hurtubise. Sam Kulasingam scores. Diego Hernandez scores. Brian O'Keefe to 2nd.7–7
8Harold Castro out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Blake Dunn. Peyton Wilson scores. Sam Kulasingam to 3rd.5–7
8Nelson Velázquez walks. Nick Pratto scores. Peyton Wilson to 3rd. Sam Kulasingam to 2nd.4–7
8Cavan Biggio hit by pitch. Joey Wiemer scores. Nick Pratto to 3rd. Peyton Wilson to 2nd.3–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
