Padres at Rockies
Last play · Kai Murphy grounds out to first baseman Warming Bernabel.
Win probability
Rockies100%
SD 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 9 COL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 12.5 ↓
fair over 46.3% · hold 5.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -160
Rockies favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Jones singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brandon Lockridge. (inning 2) — +15% Rockies
9Niko Goodrum doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Braiden Ward. Forrest Wall scores.2–13
8Zac Veen triples (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Forrest Wall. GJ Hill scores. Jacob Stallings scores. Braiden Ward scores.1–13
7Aaron Schunk doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Tim Locastro. Braiden Ward scores. Zac Veen to 3rd.1–10
5Sean Bouchard homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Nolan Jones scores.1–9
5Nolan Jones doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Tim Locastro. Michael Toglia scores. Hunter Goodman scores.1–7
4Ryan McMahon hit by pitch. Sean Bouchard scores. Brenton Doyle to 3rd. Ezequiel Tovar to 2nd.1–5
4Brenton Doyle singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brandon Lockridge. Nolan Jones scores. Sean Bouchard to 2nd.1–4
4Sean Bouchard singles on a ground ball to left fielder Gavin Sheets. Hunter Goodman scores. Nolan Jones to 2nd.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
