Twins at Red Sox
Last play · Mark Kolozsvary singles on a line drive to left fielder Carson McCusker. Marcelo Mayer scores.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
MIN 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 5 – 4 BOS
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -125
Red Sox favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcelo Mayer singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyler Fedko, deflected by first baseman Mike Ford. Ahbram Liendo scores. Marcelo Mayer to 2nd. (inning 9) — +42% Red Sox
9Mark Kolozsvary singles on a line drive to left fielder Carson McCusker. Marcelo Mayer scores.5–6
9Marcelo Mayer singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyler Fedko, deflected by first baseman Mike Ford. Ahbram Liendo scores. Marcelo Mayer to 2nd.5–5
3Masataka Yoshida singles on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Alex Bregman scores. Triston Casas to 2nd.5–4
3Ryan Jeffers singles on a line drive to left fielder Roman Anthony. Royce Lewis scores.5–3
3Willi Castro singles on a line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Trevor Larnach scores. Willi Castro out at 2nd on the throw, center fielder Jarren Duran to shortstop David Hamilton to first baseman Triston Casas to second baseman Kristian Campbell. Royce Lewis to 3rd.4–3
1Triston Casas homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Jarren Duran scores. Alex Bregman scores.3–3
1Ryan Jeffers walks. Byron Buxton scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd. Willi Castro to 2nd.3–0
1Royce Lewis singles on a fly ball to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Carlos Correa scores. Byron Buxton to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
