Pirates at Red Sox
Last play · Eddy Rodriguez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
PIT 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 0 BOS
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -190
Red Sox favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ceddanne Rafaela grounds out, second baseman Mike Jarvis to first baseman Imanol Vargas. Kristian Campbell scores. Nick Sogard to 2nd. (inning 8) — +29% Red Sox
9Will Taylor singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Mike Jarvis scores.1–2
8Rob Refsnyder singles on a ground ball to right fielder P.J. Hilson. Nick Sogard scores.0–2
8Ceddanne Rafaela grounds out, second baseman Mike Jarvis to first baseman Imanol Vargas. Kristian Campbell scores. Nick Sogard to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
