Astros at Nationals
Last play · Bryan Lavastida grounds out, first baseman Juan Yepez to pitcher Junior Santos.
Win probability
Nationals100%
HOU 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 2 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -190
Nationals favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · James Wood called out on strikes. (inning 3) — +12% Nationals
9Nehomar Ochoa Jr. singles on a fly ball to center fielder Robert Hassell III. Quincy Hamilton scores. Jacob Melton scores.3–9
9Jacob Melton singles on a ground ball to left fielder Daylen Lile. Luis Castro scores. Quincy Hamilton to 3rd.1–9
8Daylen Lile singles on a ground ball to second baseman Max Holy. Andrew Knizner scores. Juan Yepez to 2nd.0–9
8Juan Yepez reaches on a throwing error by pitcher Julio Rodriguez. Cayden Wallace scores. Andrew Knizner to 3rd.0–8
8Cayden Wallace doubles (1) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Nehomar Ochoa Jr., deflected by third baseman Ryan Johnson. Darren Baker scores. Brady House scores. Robert Hassell III to 3rd.0–6
6Keibert Ruiz out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Quincy Hamilton. James Wood scores.0–4
6Nathaniel Lowe singles on a line drive to left fielder Nehomar Ochoa Jr. Dylan Crews scores. James Wood to 2nd.0–3
3James Wood called out on strikes.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
