Mets at Nationals
Last play · Luis De Los Santos strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Nationals100%
NYM 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 2 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +100
Nationals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · José Tena doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Jesse Winker. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Paul DeJong scores. (inning 6) — +17% Nationals
6José Tena doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Jesse Winker. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Paul DeJong scores.1–4
5Daylen Lile triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Andrew Pinckney scores.1–2
4Paul DeJong doubles (1) on a fly ball to left fielder Jesse Winker. Robert Hassell III scores.1–1
3Pete Alonso grounds into a force out, fielded by third baseman Paul DeJong. Donovan Walton scores. Luis De Los Santos out at 3rd. Juan Soto to 2nd. Pete Alonso to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
