Blue Jays at Astros
Last play · Tyler Whitaker singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Will Robertson. Ben Gamel scores. Ryan Wrobleski to 2nd.
Win probability
Astros100%
TOR 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 3 – 5 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -130
Astros favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yainer Diaz homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Ben Gamel scores. (inning 5) — +30% Astros
9Tyler Whitaker singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Will Robertson. Ben Gamel scores. Ryan Wrobleski to 2nd.5–6
7Addison Barger out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Logan Cerny. Josh Rivera scores.5–5
7Rainer Nunez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Chas McCormick. Steward Berroa scores. Josh Rivera to 3rd. Fielding error by left fielder Chas McCormick.4–5
5Quincy Hamilton hits a ground-rule double (2) on a fly ball to left-center field. Zach Dezenzo scores. Chas McCormick to 3rd.3–5
5Yainer Diaz homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Ben Gamel scores.3–4
4Zach Dezenzo homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.3–2
2Quincy Hamilton singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nathan Lukes. Chas McCormick scores.3–1
1Ernie Clement out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Quincy Hamilton. Andrés Giménez scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
