Nationals at Astros
Last play · Tyler Whitaker grounds into a double play, second baseman Luis García Jr. to first baseman Juan Yepez. Chas McCormick out at 2nd. Tyler Whitaker out at 1st.
Win probability
Astros0%
WSH 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 4 – 2 HOU
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -165
Astros favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Keibert Ruiz hits a sacrifice fly. Fielding error by left fielder Jose Altuve. Dylan Crews scores. Luis García Jr. scores. Keibert Ruiz to 1st. (inning 5) — -27% Nationals
6Victor Caratini out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Amed Rosario. Ben Gamel scores.4–3
5Keibert Ruiz hits a sacrifice fly. Fielding error by left fielder Jose Altuve. Dylan Crews scores. Luis García Jr. scores. Keibert Ruiz to 1st.4–2
4Riley Adams out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake Meyers. Keibert Ruiz scores.2–2
4Amed Rosario out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jose Altuve. Josh Bell scores.1–2
3Jeremy Peña singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dylan Crews. Jose Altuve scores.0–2
2Mauricio Dubón reaches on a fielding error by shortstop CJ Abrams. Zach Dezenzo scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
