Mets at Astros
Last play · Cooper Hummel strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros0%
NYM 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 4 – 0 HOU
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Astros favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Francisco Lindor walks. (inning 3) — -14% Mets
8Cam Smith homers (4) on a line drive to left center field. Cooper Hummel scores.8–2
8Mark Vientos singles on a line drive to center fielder Kenni Gomez. Alexander Canario scores. Nick Roselli to 2nd.8–0
6Pete Alonso homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Tyrone Taylor scores. Juan Soto scores.7–0
5Brandon Nimmo doubles (1) on a fly ball to left fielder Jose Altuve. Mark Vientos scores.4–0
4Brett Baty triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Luis Torrens scores.3–0
3Juan Soto hits a sacrifice fly. Fielding error by left fielder Jose Altuve. Brett Baty scores. Francisco Lindor to 2nd. Juan Soto to 1st.2–0
3Francisco Lindor walks.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
